Friday, August 1, 2008

Real GDP grew by 1.88% in the second quarter; was negative in the fourth quarter 2007

The Bureau of Economic Analysis released the Gross Domestic Product figures for the second quarter today. Real GDP, adjusted for inflation, rose by an annualized rate of 1.88% in the second quarter 2008 compared to the first quarter 2008. The first quarter grew by a revised 0.87%. Fourth quarter 2007 was revised down to -0.17% down from the previously announced figure of +0.60%. December 2007 could be considered the start of the recession.

Adjusted for both inflation and population, Real per capita GDP fell at an annualized rate of 1.19% in the fourth quarter 2007. It barely rose by 0.02% in the first quarter 2008 and rose by 1.00% in the second quarter. While inflation is making the headlines with rising food and gas prices, the price deflators used to calculate GDP went down to 1.1% in the second quarter from 2.6% in the first quarter. The monthly increases in Core CPI for the second quarter averaged an annualized rate of 2.33% and CPI averaged a whopping 7.66%.


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