Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Trade Deficit declines to $56.77 billion

The Department of Commerce announced that the goods and services deficit in June declined to $56.77 billion down from the revised figure of $59.20 billion in May. This is down from when the trade deficit peaked in 2006 averaging $62.77 a month. Exports of goods increased by $5.7 billion while imports of goods increased by $5.7 billion. The goods deficit increased $2.1 billion from May to $70.0 billion and the services surplus increased by $0.4 billion to $13.3 billion.

The deficits with our biggest trade partners all increased last month. China was up to a $21.4 billion deficit (from $21.0 billion in May), OPEC was $18.1 ($17.9), the European Union $8.2 ($7.9), Canada $7.2 ($5.4), and Japan $6.1 ($5.0).

Adjusted for inflation, the trade deficit for the last twelve months ending in June declined slightly from the deficit for the one year period ending in May. The trade deficit peaked in August of 2006. The annual change in Personal Income adjusted for inflation in June was positive but this year Personal Income has been down sharply compared to last year. Before 2000, Personal Income was growing faster than the Trade Deficit. At that time an argument could be made that we were investing in the future. Since 2000, the trade deficit has ballooned while personal income growth has fallen. We are now borrowing from the future to fund our current lifestyle.


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